Title: on Foresight Processes and Performance of Innovation Networks

This dissertation seeks to increase understanding of how innovation systems perform, and therefore to provide stronger foundation on the evaluation and development of technology policy instruments. The essays examine the rationales for government intervention in the commercialisation of new technologies, and within that context the role of instruments facilitating emergent and embedded foresight processes is elaborated on. This higher-level analysis is complemented with quantitative modelling of factors affecting inventive performance within industrial research organization, especially considering the effects of intra-and inter-organizational collaboration networks. Overall, the analyses are based on an open system perspective, and the research addresses how the absorptive capacity of different participants is affected by the organizational and cross-organizational arrangements. The approach is normative in the sense that it aims to provide policy and managerial recommendations for improving the system performance even given conditions of bounded rationality. At policy level, the dissertation argues that innovation policy instruments should mitigate anticipatory myopia that is a potential hindrance to the overall performance of innovation system. Hence, there is a key role for instruments that support foresight in the innovation system, and accordingly emergent and embedded foresight processes should be taken into account in instrument design. Control systems, mechanisms for focusing the research and technology development effort, as well as means to identify required complementary actions can be inbuilt to the policy instruments when innovation performance is addressed as a multi-layered issue. At micro level, the results call for re-examination of the concept of organizational boundaries in the innovation process, as within-firm arrangements can enable some market-like characteristics to industrial research. Parts of the organization can behave as " boundary operations " , bridging between the organization's core and its environment. Policy instruments should leverage, not dismiss, this behaviour as appropriate for enhancing system-wide innovation performance.